Wednesday, 25 June 2014

Independents take top spot in Irish Polling Indicator

Irish Polling Indicator, update 12 June 2014
Lines display estimates per party, shaded areas indicate 95% uncertainty margin

Independents and smaller parties have seen their electoral support increased over the last two months. They now top the Irish Polling Indicator, which combines all national election polls in to one estimate of party support. Independents now score between 25.7% and 31%, followed by Sinn Féin at 21.5-25.7% and Fine Gael at 20.1%-24.2%. The largest government party has been on a downward slope in the polls since mid-February, while Sinn Féin have seen an increase in public support since the beginning of this year. These trends seem to continue after the May local and European elections.