|Irish Polling Indicator, update 16 August 2014|
Lines display estimates per party, shaded areas indicate 95% uncertainty margins
The reversal of Labour's fortunes comes after the election of Joan Burton as new party leader early July. A Behaviour & Attitudes poll released 16 August has Labour on 14%. Another poll, conducted by Millward Brown, however had Labour support on only 7% at the second half of July. While there might have been an increase of Labour support in the meantime, it is also quite likely that part of that 7 point gap between the two polls is the result of sampling error of the polls or other differences in how the two pollsters conduct their research. As a result, the current estimate for Labour in the Polling Indicator is 10 percent (margin of error +/- 2.5%).